Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.6% vs 50.9%). Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 51.5% vs Poehling 50.8% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 85.2%
Defensive zone
Poehling 80.3%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 58.4%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 70.6%
70.6%
29.4%
Suzuki
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Suzuki
Poehling
Last 9: Suzuki 6-3 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
6
1
Suzuki
Poehling
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
2
Suzuki
Poehling
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (981)
52.6% (622)
-0.2%
Power Play
50.7% (304)
58.3% (12)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (33)
39.8% (103)
-3.4%
On power play, Poehling has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Suzuki is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Suzuki shoots right. Poehling is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Poehling
Home
53.2% (645)
53.2% (393)
Away
50.1% (673)
48.3% (344)
By Period
Suzuki
Poehling
P1
48.9%
50.9%
P2
51.5%
56.2%
P3
54.9%
46.1%
OT
25.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.4%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.6%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 11:05 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 06:59 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 11:38 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 16:34 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 14:02 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 02:07 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 2 | 19:09 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 2 | 11:05 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 2 | 08:10 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |