Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Pinto on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 51.5% vs Pinto 50.1% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Pinto leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 74.6%
Defensive zone
Pinto 84.6%
Neutral zone
Pinto 57.2%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 66.4%
33.6%
66.4%
Suzuki
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Suzuki
Pinto
Last 8: Suzuki 4-4 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Suzuki
Pinto
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
4
3
Suzuki
Pinto
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
1
4
Suzuki
Pinto
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (981)
50.4% (779)
+2.0%
Power Play
50.7% (304)
55.2% (29)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (33)
44.9% (78)
-8.5%
On penalty kill, Pinto has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Suzuki is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Suzuki shoots right. Pinto is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (214).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Pinto
Home
53.2% (645)
52.4% (454)
Away
50.1% (673)
47.7% (432)
By Period
Suzuki
Pinto
P1
48.9%
48.1%
P2
51.5%
52.9%
P3
54.9%
49.3%
OT
25.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.6%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 18:54 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 18:44 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 05:49 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 17:13 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 14:17 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 09:09 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 02:00 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 00:13 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |