Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 49.3%). Look for Dries on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 49.3% vs Dries 49.4% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 51.1%
Defensive zone
Dries 69.4%
Neutral zone
Dries 61.0%
Result
Sheldon Dries favored at 63.6%
36.4%
63.6%
Suzuki
Dries
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Suzuki
Dries
Last 5: Suzuki 1-4 Dries
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dries
0
1
Suzuki
Dries
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dries
0
3
Suzuki
Dries
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
0
Suzuki
Dries
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Dries
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (6,327)
48.5% (544)
+0.9%
Power Play
50.7% (1,338)
54.3% (70)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (456)
51.4% (37)
-7.8%
On penalty kill, Dries has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dries shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,913).
Suzuki shoots right. Dries is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Dries
Home
51.0% (3,997)
52.6% (363)
Away
47.6% (4,124)
45.1% (288)
By Period
Suzuki
Dries
P1
48.8%
46.7%
P2
49.1%
51.4%
P3
50.2%
49.5%
Final 5 min
49.0%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.3%
Dries
40.0%▼
49.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2022 | 3 | 15:11 | Defensive | Sheldon Dries |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 2 | 11:25 | Defensive | Sheldon Dries |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 1 | 12:34 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 1 | 07:19 | Defensive | Sheldon Dries |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 1 | 00:54 | Offensive | Sheldon Dries |