Scouting Report
Sheldon Dries holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Dries on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Suzuki wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Dries shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 47.5% vs Dries 49.9% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 51.8%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 51.7%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 53.2%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Suzuki
Dries
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Suzuki
Dries
Last 5: Suzuki 1-4 Dries
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dries
0
1
Suzuki
Dries
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dries
0
3
Suzuki
Dries
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
0
Suzuki
Dries
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Dries
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (1,066)
49.1% (401)
-2.1%
Power Play
49.5% (204)
55.0% (60)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (131)
50.0% (10)
-3.4%
On power play, Dries has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dries shoots left. Suzuki is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,005).
Suzuki shoots right. Dries is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Dries
Home
49.4% (686)
54.3% (265)
Away
45.3% (715)
44.2% (206)
By Period
Suzuki
Dries
P1
45.6%
45.8%
P2
46.9%
54.3%
P3
49.8%
49.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
47.3%
Dries
40.0%▼
49.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2022 | 3 | 15:11 | Defensive | Sheldon Dries |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 2 | 11:25 | Defensive | Sheldon Dries |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 1 | 12:34 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 1 | 07:19 | Defensive | Sheldon Dries |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 1 | 00:54 | Offensive | Sheldon Dries |