Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 49.6% vs Nosek 53.4% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 59.6%
Defensive zone
Nosek 85.7%
Neutral zone
Nosek 54.7%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 70.5%
29.5%
70.5%
Suzuki
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Suzuki
Nosek
Last 8: Suzuki 5-3 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
0
Suzuki
Nosek
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
2
3
Suzuki
Nosek
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
0
Suzuki
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (1,075)
55.1% (557)
-4.8%
Power Play
49.3% (219)
50.0% (4)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (116)
47.7% (111)
-4.6%
On even strength, Nosek has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,008).
Suzuki shoots right. Nosek is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Nosek
Home
53.6% (711)
52.3% (342)
Away
45.5% (699)
55.5% (330)
By Period
Suzuki
Nosek
P1
48.5%
49.0%
P2
51.7%
53.8%
P3
49.0%
57.9%
Final 5 min
49.0%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.6%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 19:33 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 2 | 18:29 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 1 | 07:08 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 12, 2022 | 2 | 10:46 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 12, 2022 | 2 | 03:18 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 12, 2022 | 1 | 13:55 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 2 | 10:18 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 2 | 00:25 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |