Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.3% vs 49.6%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 50.3% vs Kozak 49.7% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 72.0%
Defensive zone
Kozak 83.2%
Neutral zone
Kozak 53.5%
Result
Tyson Kozak favored at 60.3%
39.7%
60.3%
Suzuki
Kozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Suzuki
Kozak
Last 5: Suzuki 2-3 Kozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
0
Suzuki
Kozak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kozak
0
2
Suzuki
Kozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Suzuki
Kozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (904)
49.3% (294)
+2.0%
Power Play
49.8% (265)
60.0% (5)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (57)
50.0% (40)
-13.2%
On penalty kill, Kozak has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Suzuki is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (921).
Suzuki shoots right. Kozak is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (100).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Kozak
Home
50.6% (603)
45.5% (145)
Away
50.1% (623)
52.6% (194)
By Period
Suzuki
Kozak
P1
52.3%
53.4%
P2
47.5%
50.0%
P3
51.1%
44.3%
Final 5 min
48.5%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.3%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 10:24 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 15:27 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 03:11 | Neutral | Tyson Kozak |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 08:48 | Defensive | Tyson Kozak |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 08:46 | Defensive | Tyson Kozak |