Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 48.6%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 49.3% vs Kozak 48.8% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 69.9%
Defensive zone
Kozak 82.4%
Neutral zone
Kozak 55.0%
Result
Tyson Kozak favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Suzuki
Kozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Suzuki
Kozak
Last 5: Suzuki 2-3 Kozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
0
Suzuki
Kozak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kozak
0
2
Suzuki
Kozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Suzuki
Kozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (6,327)
48.3% (431)
+1.1%
Power Play
50.7% (1,338)
62.5% (8)
-11.8%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (456)
48.9% (45)
-5.3%
On power play, Kozak has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,913).
Suzuki shoots right. Kozak is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Kozak
Home
51.0% (3,997)
47.6% (229)
Away
47.6% (4,124)
49.4% (255)
By Period
Suzuki
Kozak
P1
48.8%
54.4%
P2
49.1%
45.7%
P3
50.2%
45.7%
Final 5 min
49.0%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.3%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 10:24 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 15:27 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 03:11 | Neutral | Tyson Kozak |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 08:48 | Defensive | Tyson Kozak |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 08:46 | Defensive | Tyson Kozak |