Aleksander Barkov vs Nicklas Backstrom
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Barkov wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 54.5% vs Backstrom 50.3% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 63.7%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 60.4%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 68.4%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 65.5%
34.5%
65.5%
Barkov
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Barkov
Backstrom
Last 6: Barkov 2-4 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
2
Barkov
Backstrom
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
1
Barkov
Backstrom
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
2
1
Barkov
Backstrom
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (863)
51.4% (473)
+1.7%
Power Play
63.4% (276)
39.5% (38)
+23.9%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (193)
33.3% (3)
+17.5%
On power play, Barkov has a +23.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Barkov is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (844).
Barkov shoots left. Backstrom is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (342).
Home / Away
Barkov
Backstrom
Home
58.1% (627)
53.6% (278)
Away
52.1% (705)
46.6% (236)
By Period
Barkov
Backstrom
P1
53.3%
51.5%
P2
55.0%
56.0%
P3
56.0%
43.5%
OT
60.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.5%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
54.9%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 06:22 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 17:53 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 07:41 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 02:25 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 07:20 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |