Scouting Report
Brian Boyle holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Boyle wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.6% vs Backstrom 48.7% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Backstrom leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Backstrom 61.6%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 52.9%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 56.5%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Boyle
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Boyle
Backstrom
Last 10: Boyle 3-7 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
5
Boyle
Backstrom
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
2
1
Boyle
Backstrom
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Boyle
Backstrom
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (517)
47.9% (1,097)
+4.7%
Power Play
54.3% (35)
55.7% (149)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (130)
45.0% (111)
-2.7%
On even strength, Boyle has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Boyle is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (383).
Boyle shoots left. Backstrom is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (825).
Home / Away
Boyle
Backstrom
Home
52.4% (315)
51.1% (638)
Away
49.3% (367)
46.3% (719)
By Period
Boyle
Backstrom
P1
51.1%
44.8%
P2
52.6%
51.1%
P3
48.3%
49.4%
OT
100.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
54.5%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
50.7%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2015 | 3 | 13:44 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 18, 2015 | 3 | 13:39 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 18, 2015 | 1 | 16:33 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 18, 2015 | 1 | 14:30 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 3 | 07:04 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 2 | 11:16 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 27, 2015 | 2 | 16:05 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 27, 2015 | 1 | 18:17 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 27, 2015 | 1 | 05:34 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 27, 2015 | 1 | 04:34 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |