Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.8% vs Backstrom 52.3% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Backstrom leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Backstrom 51.3%
Defensive zone
Kelly 78.1%
Neutral zone
Kelly 63.1%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Kelly
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
12
(17 meetings)
5
12
Kelly
Backstrom
Last 10: Kelly 2-8 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
4
Kelly
Backstrom
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kelly
Backstrom
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
3
6
Kelly
Backstrom
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (723)
52.1% (940)
-0.2%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
51.3% (267)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (166)
55.4% (83)
-9.0%
On penalty kill, Backstrom has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Kelly is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (605).
Kelly shoots left. Backstrom is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (768).
Home / Away
Kelly
Backstrom
Home
53.8% (442)
53.6% (638)
Away
48.1% (474)
51.4% (677)
By Period
Kelly
Backstrom
P1
50.2%
54.8%
P2
47.6%
50.5%
P3
54.5%
52.0%
OT
85.7%
59.1%
Final 5 min
52.8%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.9%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 2 | 15:08 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 2 | 02:56 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 1 | 14:36 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 1 | 11:09 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 1 | 07:37 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 1 | 05:22 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 1 | 01:39 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 19, 2010 | 3 | 15:03 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 19, 2010 | 2 | 03:19 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 19, 2010 | 1 | 16:00 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 2 | 11:34 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 2 | 11:18 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 1 | 16:42 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 1 | 14:19 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |