Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 49.1% vs Backstrom 51.3% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ward 54.6%
Defensive zone
Ward 73.4%
Neutral zone
Ward 61.2%
Result
Joel Ward favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Ward
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Ward
Backstrom
Last 5: Ward 1-4 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
4
Ward
Backstrom
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (339)
52.5% (1,108)
+0.3%
Power Play
48.5% (33)
52.4% (164)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (84)
27.9% (61)
+5.4%
On penalty kill, Ward has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Ward is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Ward shoots right. Backstrom is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (505).
Home / Away
Ward
Backstrom
Home
53.4% (251)
52.5% (642)
Away
43.4% (205)
50.4% (691)
By Period
Ward
Backstrom
P1
49.4%
50.2%
P2
46.9%
51.4%
P3
50.3%
53.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.9%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2017 | 3 | 14:07 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 3 | 02:02 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 3 | 13:48 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 3 | 06:03 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 2 | 08:47 | Offensive | Joel Ward |