Scouting Report
Kyle Okposo holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Okposo wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Okposo 53.8% vs Backstrom 51.3% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 54.7%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 53.7%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 63.3%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 58.2%
41.8%
58.2%
Okposo
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Okposo
Backstrom
Last 9: Okposo 3-6 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Okposo
Backstrom
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
2
Okposo
Backstrom
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
3
Okposo
Backstrom
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Okposo
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (164)
51.2% (654)
+4.9%
Power Play
60.0% (15)
50.9% (110)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
53.9% (76)
-11.0%
On penalty kill, Backstrom has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Okposo is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (127).
Okposo shoots right. Backstrom is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Home / Away
Okposo
Backstrom
Home
55.3% (103)
52.0% (400)
Away
56.6% (83)
50.9% (440)
By Period
Okposo
Backstrom
P1
55.6%
51.6%
P2
56.3%
51.1%
P3
54.7%
50.7%
OT
75.0%
65.0%
Final 5 min
59.1%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Okposo
48.0%▬
49.0%
55.9%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2013 | OT | 03:55 | Defensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 3 | 10:48 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 3 | 03:11 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 3 | 15:07 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 2 | 05:14 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 2 | 17:11 | Neutral | Kyle Okposo |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 2 | 00:19 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 1 | 19:49 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 1 | 10:02 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |