Mathew Barzal vs Nicklas Backstrom
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.3% vs 46.4%). Look for Backstrom on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Barzal wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 46.9% vs Backstrom 46.9% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 53.4%
Defensive zone
Barzal 65.3%
Neutral zone
Barzal 57.6%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 61.5%
61.5%
38.5%
Barzal
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Barzal
Backstrom
Last 6: Barzal 1-5 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
3
Barzal
Backstrom
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
2
Barzal
Backstrom
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (483)
47.0% (541)
-0.4%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
47.4% (95)
-6.5%
On power play, Backstrom has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Barzal is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Barzal shoots right. Backstrom is 41.0% vs right-shot opponents (244).
Home / Away
Barzal
Backstrom
Home
49.6% (242)
48.5% (328)
Away
43.3% (263)
44.2% (321)
By Period
Barzal
Backstrom
P1
42.4%
44.8%
P2
49.5%
42.9%
P3
47.7%
50.9%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
40.2%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
46.3%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2022 | 1 | 12:01 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 17:35 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 15:08 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 01:49 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 04:22 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 13:21 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |