Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Backstrom wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 50.3% vs Roy 48.3% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 67.2%
Defensive zone
Roy 69.4%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 50.4%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Backstrom
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Backstrom
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
0
Backstrom
Roy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
0
Backstrom
Roy
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
0
2
Backstrom
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (473)
48.3% (633)
+3.1%
Power Play
39.5% (38)
52.1% (48)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
43.7% (87)
-10.4%
On power play, Roy has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Backstrom is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Backstrom shoots left. Roy is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Roy
Home
53.6% (278)
50.8% (376)
Away
46.6% (236)
45.4% (392)
By Period
Backstrom
Roy
P1
51.5%
53.8%
P2
56.0%
43.5%
P3
43.5%
46.4%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.4%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 19:23 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 11:31 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |