Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 51.3% vs Nash 49.2% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nash 53.3%
Defensive zone
Nash 76.5%
Neutral zone
Nash 63.3%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 69.3%
30.7%
69.3%
Backstrom
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Backstrom
Nash
Last 5: Backstrom 0-5 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
1
Backstrom
Nash
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
3
Backstrom
Nash
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
0
1
Backstrom
Nash
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (1,108)
50.9% (481)
+1.6%
Power Play
52.4% (164)
27.3% (11)
+25.1%
Penalty Kill
27.9% (61)
40.0% (70)
-12.1%
On power play, Backstrom has a +25.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Backstrom is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (505).
Backstrom shoots left. Nash is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (377).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Nash
Home
52.5% (642)
46.5% (282)
Away
50.4% (691)
51.8% (280)
By Period
Backstrom
Nash
P1
50.2%
48.5%
P2
51.4%
47.3%
P3
53.0%
51.0%
OT
41.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
51.4%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2017 | 3 | 16:54 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 03:18 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 1, 2017 | 2 | 18:36 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 7, 2016 | 2 | 19:09 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Dec 7, 2016 | 1 | 03:57 | Offensive | Riley Nash |