Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Backstrom wins 41.0% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 46.9% vs Nash 51.7% (-5.7%)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 80.8%
Defensive zone
Nash 81.1%
Neutral zone
Nash 52.6%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Backstrom
Nash
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (541)
54.1% (292)
-7.1%
Power Play
47.4% (95)
57.1% (7)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
15.4% (13)
45.9% (98)
-30.5%
On penalty kill, Nash has a +30.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Backstrom is 41.0% vs right-shot opponents (244).
Backstrom shoots left. Nash is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Nash
Home
48.5% (328)
56.3% (183)
Away
44.2% (321)
48.6% (214)
By Period
Backstrom
Nash
P1
44.8%
58.9%
P2
42.9%
51.0%
P3
50.9%
46.5%
OT
57.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
52.1%