Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 49.3% vs Nash 48.2% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 67.0%
Defensive zone
Nash 64.0%
Neutral zone
Nash 60.1%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Backstrom
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Backstrom
Nash
Last 5: Backstrom 2-3 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
0
Backstrom
Nash
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
1
2
Backstrom
Nash
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
0
1
Backstrom
Nash
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (854)
48.3% (449)
+1.7%
Power Play
44.6% (148)
37.5% (8)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (46)
45.5% (55)
+4.5%
On power play, Backstrom has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Backstrom is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (373).
Backstrom shoots left. Nash is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Nash
Home
52.2% (506)
51.6% (275)
Away
46.5% (542)
43.5% (237)
By Period
Backstrom
Nash
P1
45.3%
52.7%
P2
46.9%
43.9%
P3
55.5%
47.7%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.6%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
49.2%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2019 | 2 | 07:21 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 16, 2019 | 1 | 19:33 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 16, 2019 | 1 | 19:27 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 16, 2019 | 1 | 19:14 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 9, 2019 | 2 | 06:52 | Neutral | Riley Nash |