Nicklas Backstrom vs Ryan Carpenter
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Carpenter on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 50.5% vs Carpenter 48.5% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Carpenter leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Backstrom 65.1%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 82.0%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 62.2%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 66.5%
33.5%
66.5%
Backstrom
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Backstrom
Carpenter
Last 10: Backstrom 3-7 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
2
1
Backstrom
Carpenter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
1
6
Backstrom
Carpenter
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carpenter
1
2
Backstrom
Carpenter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (11,581)
49.6% (2,027)
+0.8%
Power Play
52.3% (1,895)
41.5% (41)
+10.8%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (889)
43.9% (467)
+3.1%
On power play, Backstrom has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Backstrom is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (5,430).
Backstrom shoots left. Carpenter is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,840).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Carpenter
Home
52.6% (7,223)
51.2% (1,290)
Away
48.4% (7,173)
45.5% (1,245)
By Period
Backstrom
Carpenter
P1
50.1%
49.6%
P2
49.7%
47.7%
P3
51.6%
48.0%
OT
52.9%
55.6%
Final 5 min
50.5%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.5%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2021 | 2 | 17:07 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 20, 2019 | 3 | 12:59 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 20, 2019 | 3 | 09:58 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 20, 2019 | 3 | 06:05 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 20, 2019 | 2 | 05:16 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 20, 2019 | 2 | 02:00 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 20, 2019 | 1 | 11:50 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 20, 2019 | 1 | 09:17 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 20, 2019 | 1 | 05:00 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 1 | 17:05 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 10, 2018 | 3 | 01:05 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 4, 2018 | 2 | 11:47 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 4, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |