Nicklas Backstrom vs Ryan Carpenter
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Backstrom wins 41.0% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 46.9% vs Carpenter 51.2% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 77.9%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 87.7%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 64.2%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 77.9%
77.9%
22.1%
Backstrom
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Backstrom
Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
0
Backstrom
Carpenter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (541)
53.2% (299)
-6.2%
Power Play
47.4% (95)
33.3% (3)
+14.1%
Penalty Kill
15.4% (13)
46.5% (86)
-31.1%
On penalty kill, Carpenter has a +31.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Backstrom is 41.0% vs right-shot opponents (244).
Backstrom shoots left. Carpenter is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Carpenter
Home
48.5% (328)
54.6% (207)
Away
44.2% (321)
48.1% (181)
By Period
Backstrom
Carpenter
P1
44.8%
52.3%
P2
42.9%
51.5%
P3
50.9%
50.8%
Final 5 min
47.1%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2021 | 2 | 17:07 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |