Nicklas Backstrom vs Ryan Carpenter
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Carpenter on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 49.3% vs Carpenter 44.1% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 52.9%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 85.2%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 67.7%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 80.8%
19.2%
80.8%
Backstrom
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Backstrom
Carpenter
Last 8: Backstrom 2-6 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
1
5
Backstrom
Carpenter
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Backstrom
Carpenter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (854)
46.2% (474)
+3.8%
Power Play
44.6% (148)
28.6% (7)
+16.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (46)
32.6% (129)
+17.4%
On penalty kill, Backstrom has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Backstrom is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (373).
Backstrom shoots left. Carpenter is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Carpenter
Home
52.2% (506)
46.5% (303)
Away
46.5% (542)
39.7% (307)
By Period
Backstrom
Carpenter
P1
45.3%
44.2%
P2
46.9%
40.4%
P3
55.5%
44.2%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
47.6%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
49.2%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2019 | 3 | 12:59 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 20, 2019 | 3 | 09:58 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 20, 2019 | 3 | 06:05 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 20, 2019 | 2 | 05:16 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 20, 2019 | 2 | 02:00 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 20, 2019 | 1 | 11:50 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 20, 2019 | 1 | 09:17 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 20, 2019 | 1 | 05:00 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |