Nicklas Backstrom vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on neutral-zone draws (62% H2H, 26 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 50.5% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Backstrom leads 34-20 in 54 meetings
Offensive zone
Backstrom 94.0%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 86.3%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 90.2%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 90.3%
90.3%
9.7%
Backstrom
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
34
-
20
(54 meetings)
34
20
Backstrom
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Backstrom 6-4 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
9
6
Backstrom
Nugent-Hopkins
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
9
4
Backstrom
Nugent-Hopkins
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
16
10
Backstrom
Nugent-Hopkins
26 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (11,581)
44.9% (8,714)
+5.5%
Power Play
52.3% (1,895)
50.3% (829)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (889)
37.8% (875)
+9.2%
On penalty kill, Backstrom has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Backstrom is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (8,966).
Backstrom shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,805).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
52.6% (7,223)
46.4% (5,318)
Away
48.4% (7,173)
42.9% (5,112)
By Period
Backstrom
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
50.1%
45.1%
P2
49.7%
43.8%
P3
51.6%
45.2%
OT
52.9%
43.5%
Final 5 min
50.5%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.5%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2022 | 3 | 15:57 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 2 | 14:55 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 1 | 08:53 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 1 | 01:30 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 3 | 11:36 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 2 | 15:06 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 2 | 05:40 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 12, 2017 | 3 | 06:26 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 12, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 12, 2017 | 2 | 11:09 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 12, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 12, 2017 | 1 | 10:02 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 12, 2017 | 1 | 02:48 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 12, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 1 | 07:04 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 24, 2017 | 3 | 11:41 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 24, 2017 | 3 | 11:21 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 24, 2017 | 3 | 08:56 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 24, 2017 | 3 | 05:48 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 24, 2017 | 2 | 00:35 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |