Nicklas Backstrom vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 46.9% vs Nugent-Hopkins 42.5% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 71.9%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 72.0%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 50.2%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Backstrom
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Backstrom
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
0
Backstrom
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
2
Backstrom
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (541)
43.0% (349)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
15.4% (13)
31.8% (88)
-16.4%
On penalty kill, Nugent-Hopkins has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Backstrom is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Backstrom shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
48.5% (328)
38.5% (231)
Away
44.2% (321)
43.2% (206)
By Period
Backstrom
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
44.8%
40.2%
P2
42.9%
36.0%
P3
50.9%
45.1%
OT
57.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
37.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
40.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2022 | 3 | 15:57 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 2 | 14:55 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 1 | 08:53 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 1 | 01:30 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |