Nicklas Backstrom vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 51.1% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.9% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 71.7%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 50.2%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 61.4%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 62.5%
62.5%
37.5%
Backstrom
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Backstrom
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 8: Backstrom 6-2 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backstrom
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
0
Backstrom
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
4
1
Backstrom
Nugent-Hopkins
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,104)
48.3% (633)
+2.7%
Power Play
54.5% (178)
64.6% (48)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (89)
43.0% (86)
+4.2%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Backstrom is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Backstrom shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
52.6% (705)
52.0% (419)
Away
49.7% (666)
44.8% (348)
By Period
Backstrom
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
51.1%
51.5%
P2
51.0%
45.9%
P3
51.4%
48.1%
OT
55.6%
75.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
51.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2017 | 3 | 06:26 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 12, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 12, 2017 | 2 | 11:09 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 12, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 12, 2017 | 1 | 10:02 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 12, 2017 | 1 | 02:48 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 12, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 1 | 07:04 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |