Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 53.4% vs Strome 47.5% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 66.7%
Defensive zone
Strome 63.5%
Neutral zone
Strome 63.2%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 64.7%
35.3%
64.7%
Backstrom
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Backstrom
Strome
Last 10: Backstrom 4-6 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Backstrom
Strome
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
4
Backstrom
Strome
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
0
Backstrom
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (1,314)
46.2% (234)
+7.9%
Power Play
56.2% (169)
60.0% (40)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (126)
37.8% (45)
+6.6%
On even strength, Backstrom has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Backstrom is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (606).
Backstrom shoots left. Strome is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (201).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Strome
Home
57.7% (799)
49.6% (137)
Away
49.5% (810)
44.5% (182)
By Period
Backstrom
Strome
P1
54.7%
56.8%
P2
51.7%
43.5%
P3
54.2%
42.6%
OT
58.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
53.6%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2015 | 2 | 16:49 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 2 | 13:09 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 2 | 04:56 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 1 | 17:59 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 1 | 06:57 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 3 | 14:02 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 2 | 17:26 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 3 | 01:03 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 3 | 08:23 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 2 | 10:43 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |