Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Backstrom wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 50.3% vs Strome 44.4% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 70.9%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 73.8%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 77.4%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 73.3%
73.3%
26.7%
Backstrom
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Backstrom
Strome
Last 6: Backstrom 4-2 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Backstrom
Strome
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
4
1
Backstrom
Strome
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (473)
43.0% (788)
+8.4%
Power Play
39.5% (38)
47.9% (96)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
50.0% (34)
-16.7%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Backstrom is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Backstrom shoots left. Strome is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (685).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Strome
Home
53.6% (278)
42.6% (486)
Away
46.6% (236)
45.1% (432)
By Period
Backstrom
Strome
P1
51.5%
41.0%
P2
56.0%
47.8%
P3
43.5%
42.1%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.4%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2023 | 3 | 06:19 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 2 | 17:20 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 1 | 19:54 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 03:44 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 18:07 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 06:08 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |