Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Backstrom wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 48.5% vs Strome 44.0% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 22-15 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 64.1%
Defensive zone
Strome 64.9%
Neutral zone
Strome 68.1%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 65.5%
34.5%
65.5%
Backstrom
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
22
(37 meetings)
15
22
Backstrom
Strome
Last 10: Backstrom 3-7 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
5
6
Backstrom
Strome
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
7
9
Backstrom
Strome
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
3
7
Backstrom
Strome
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (635)
41.9% (626)
+6.8%
Power Play
42.0% (50)
50.0% (76)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (46)
51.2% (41)
-1.2%
On power play, Strome has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Backstrom is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (354).
Backstrom shoots left. Strome is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (497).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Strome
Home
48.0% (348)
40.8% (363)
Away
48.6% (383)
45.5% (380)
By Period
Backstrom
Strome
P1
49.6%
43.0%
P2
48.2%
41.3%
P3
47.3%
45.9%
OT
37.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.7%
36.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
48.3%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2021 | 2 | 08:06 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| May 5, 2021 | 2 | 06:53 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| May 5, 2021 | 1 | 13:14 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 05:52 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 05:15 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 3 | 18:43 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 1 | 17:55 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 3 | 19:31 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 3 | 18:21 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 3 | 15:57 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 3 | 14:01 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 3 | 09:41 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 1 | 19:01 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 1 | 13:38 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 1 | 11:32 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 17:28 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 04:35 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 3 | 14:42 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 3 | 13:23 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 3 | 13:18 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |