Nicklas Backstrom vs Tim Connolly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on offensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 50.5% vs Connolly 47.3% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Backstrom leads 20-13 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Backstrom 72.2%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 65.1%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 77.7%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 72.5%
72.5%
27.5%
Backstrom
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
13
(33 meetings)
20
13
Backstrom
Connolly
Last 10: Backstrom 6-4 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
12
1
Backstrom
Connolly
13 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Backstrom
Connolly
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Connolly
4
8
Backstrom
Connolly
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (11,581)
47.4% (1,307)
+3.0%
Power Play
52.3% (1,895)
50.2% (251)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (889)
41.9% (186)
+5.1%
On penalty kill, Backstrom has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Backstrom is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (5,430).
Backstrom shoots left. Connolly is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,179).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Connolly
Home
52.6% (7,223)
48.5% (870)
Away
48.4% (7,173)
45.9% (885)
By Period
Backstrom
Connolly
P1
50.1%
47.4%
P2
49.7%
47.7%
P3
51.6%
47.0%
OT
52.9%
37.8%
Final 5 min
50.5%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.5%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2011 | 3 | 07:33 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 9, 2011 | 2 | 18:50 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Dec 9, 2011 | 2 | 16:55 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 9, 2011 | 2 | 16:53 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Dec 9, 2011 | 2 | 16:10 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 9, 2011 | 2 | 12:52 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Dec 9, 2011 | 2 | 09:53 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 9, 2011 | 2 | 02:57 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 9, 2011 | 1 | 14:27 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 9, 2011 | 1 | 11:55 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 3 | 10:37 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 3 | 01:16 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 2 | 14:40 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 2 | 14:36 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 2 | 04:35 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 2 | 01:35 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 2 | 01:18 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 1 | 17:11 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 3 | 18:35 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 3 | 17:34 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |