Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.6% vs 53.2%). Look for Bozak on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 53.4% vs Bozak 53.0% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 15-9 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 52.5%
Defensive zone
Bozak 51.4%
Neutral zone
Bozak 51.0%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Backstrom
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
15
(24 meetings)
9
15
Backstrom
Bozak
Last 10: Backstrom 3-7 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
3
2
Backstrom
Bozak
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
4
7
Backstrom
Bozak
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
6
Backstrom
Bozak
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (1,314)
53.8% (1,244)
+0.3%
Power Play
56.2% (169)
53.1% (356)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (126)
49.1% (175)
-4.7%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Backstrom is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (606).
Backstrom shoots left. Bozak is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,145).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Bozak
Home
57.7% (799)
57.7% (892)
Away
49.5% (810)
48.6% (883)
By Period
Backstrom
Bozak
P1
54.7%
54.0%
P2
51.7%
54.4%
P3
54.2%
51.0%
OT
58.1%
56.4%
Final 5 min
51.1%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
53.6%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2015 | 3 | 05:29 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 3 | 02:03 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 7, 2015 | 3 | 17:59 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 7, 2015 | 3 | 10:29 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 7, 2015 | 2 | 14:17 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 7, 2015 | 2 | 11:37 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 7, 2015 | 2 | 07:43 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 7, 2015 | 2 | 04:49 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 7, 2015 | 1 | 19:50 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 7, 2015 | 1 | 16:17 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 7, 2015 | 1 | 12:58 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 7, 2015 | 1 | 05:24 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 7, 2015 | 1 | 02:59 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 2 | 16:14 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 2 | 05:36 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 2 | 02:30 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 1 | 15:11 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 1 | 12:09 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |