Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Backstrom wins 41.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 46.9% vs Bozak 46.2% (+1.2%)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 70.7%
Defensive zone
Bozak 69.6%
Neutral zone
Bozak 50.6%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Backstrom
Bozak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (541)
46.7% (338)
+0.3%
Power Play
47.4% (95)
50.0% (6)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
15.4% (13)
32.6% (43)
-17.2%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Backstrom is 41.0% vs right-shot opponents (244).
Backstrom shoots left. Bozak is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (247).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Bozak
Home
48.5% (328)
47.9% (194)
Away
44.2% (321)
42.5% (193)
By Period
Backstrom
Bozak
P1
44.8%
40.2%
P2
42.9%
51.4%
P3
50.9%
43.1%
OT
57.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
45.2%