Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 51.3% vs Bozak 56.2% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Backstrom leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 70.4%
Defensive zone
Bozak 63.4%
Neutral zone
Bozak 59.3%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 66.3%
33.7%
66.3%
Backstrom
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Backstrom
Bozak
Last 10: Backstrom 5-5 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
5
3
Backstrom
Bozak
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
3
Backstrom
Bozak
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
3
0
Backstrom
Bozak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (1,108)
56.5% (1,119)
-4.0%
Power Play
52.4% (164)
58.4% (226)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
27.9% (61)
50.0% (20)
-22.1%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Backstrom is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (505).
Backstrom shoots left. Bozak is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (910).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Bozak
Home
52.5% (642)
60.1% (682)
Away
50.4% (691)
53.2% (684)
By Period
Backstrom
Bozak
P1
50.2%
57.7%
P2
51.4%
53.7%
P3
53.0%
59.0%
OT
41.2%
55.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
51.4%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2017 | 3 | 18:52 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 1 | 12:12 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 3 | 18:03 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 3 | 15:59 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 2 | 05:34 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 2 | 05:22 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 2 | 02:41 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 1 | 16:20 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 1 | 15:04 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 3 | 06:30 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 3 | 03:38 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 2 | 13:06 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 1 | 18:18 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 1 | 13:32 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 1 | 03:04 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |