Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Backstrom wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 51.1% vs Bozak 53.3% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Backstrom leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 72.7%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 50.3%
Neutral zone
Bozak 57.3%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 60.9%
39.1%
60.9%
Backstrom
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
2
(11 meetings)
9
2
Backstrom
Bozak
Last 10: Backstrom 8-2 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
3
2
Backstrom
Bozak
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
5
0
Backstrom
Bozak
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
0
Backstrom
Bozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,104)
53.6% (977)
-2.6%
Power Play
54.5% (178)
52.2% (186)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (89)
100.0% (6)
-52.8%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +52.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Backstrom is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (499).
Backstrom shoots left. Bozak is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (812).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Bozak
Home
52.6% (705)
55.4% (583)
Away
49.7% (666)
51.9% (586)
By Period
Backstrom
Bozak
P1
51.1%
51.9%
P2
51.0%
51.1%
P3
51.4%
57.9%
OT
55.6%
42.9%
Final 5 min
53.2%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
51.2%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2018 | 3 | 03:02 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 2 | 14:19 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 2 | 09:44 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 1 | 18:22 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 1 | 13:43 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 1 | 13:24 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 3 | 19:31 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 3 | 19:29 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 3 | 17:57 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 2 | 19:08 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 3 | 01:08 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |