Nicklas Backstrom vs William Karlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 51.3%). Look for Backstrom on offensive-zone draws (76% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 50.5% vs Karlsson 51.3% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Backstrom leads 27-22 in 49 meetings
Offensive zone
Backstrom 54.1%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 62.2%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 50.2%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Backstrom
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
22
(49 meetings)
27
22
Backstrom
Karlsson
Last 10: Backstrom 4-6 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
16
5
Backstrom
Karlsson
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
9
Backstrom
Karlsson
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
10
8
Backstrom
Karlsson
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (11,581)
51.8% (7,849)
-1.4%
Power Play
52.3% (1,895)
54.8% (1,048)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (889)
44.2% (1,109)
+2.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Backstrom is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (8,966).
Backstrom shoots left. Karlsson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,551).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Karlsson
Home
52.6% (7,223)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
48.4% (7,173)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Backstrom
Karlsson
P1
50.1%
50.3%
P2
49.7%
51.3%
P3
51.6%
52.4%
OT
52.9%
44.9%
Final 5 min
50.5%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.5%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2022 | 3 | 05:36 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 2 | 09:36 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 3 | 05:25 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 2 | 18:33 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 1 | 03:33 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Feb 17, 2020 | 1 | 03:43 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 3 | 15:02 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 3 | 13:17 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 3 | 12:00 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 2 | 19:40 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 1 | 17:58 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 1 | 14:25 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 3 | 07:36 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 2 | 05:07 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 1 | 10:39 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 10, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 10, 2018 | 2 | 14:39 | Offensive | William Karlsson |