Nicklas Backstrom vs William Karlsson
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 46.9% vs Karlsson 51.5% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 75.8%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 54.7%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 65.3%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 68.8%
68.8%
31.2%
Backstrom
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Backstrom
Karlsson
Last 6: Backstrom 2-4 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
2
1
Backstrom
Karlsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Backstrom
Karlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
2
Backstrom
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (541)
51.4% (735)
-4.4%
Power Play
47.4% (95)
63.5% (115)
-16.1%
Penalty Kill
15.4% (13)
42.9% (133)
-27.5%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +27.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Backstrom is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Backstrom shoots left. Karlsson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Karlsson
Home
48.5% (328)
52.3% (524)
Away
44.2% (321)
51.0% (459)
By Period
Backstrom
Karlsson
P1
44.8%
50.7%
P2
42.9%
51.4%
P3
50.9%
53.2%
OT
57.1%
41.2%
Final 5 min
47.1%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2022 | 3 | 05:36 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 2 | 09:36 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 3 | 05:25 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 2 | 18:33 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 1 | 03:33 | Neutral | William Karlsson |