Nicklas Backstrom vs William Karlsson
2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 51.1% vs Karlsson 48.2% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 71.8%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 51.7%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 59.9%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Backstrom
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Backstrom
Karlsson
Last 5: Backstrom 4-1 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
2
0
Backstrom
Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
2
1
Backstrom
Karlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,104)
48.9% (662)
+2.1%
Power Play
54.5% (178)
46.7% (107)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (89)
41.2% (68)
+6.0%
On power play, Backstrom has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Backstrom is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Backstrom shoots left. Karlsson is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (505).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Karlsson
Home
52.6% (705)
46.1% (401)
Away
49.7% (666)
49.8% (436)
By Period
Backstrom
Karlsson
P1
51.1%
46.6%
P2
51.0%
49.5%
P3
51.4%
48.4%
OT
55.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
51.2%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2018 | 2 | 15:03 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Feb 4, 2018 | 2 | 09:00 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 14:12 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 09:50 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 03:38 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |