Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ryan wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.9% vs Hischier 51.9% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 81.8%
Defensive zone
Ryan 66.3%
Neutral zone
Ryan 51.8%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Ryan
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Ryan
Hischier
Last 8: Ryan 3-5 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
3
Ryan
Hischier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
3
1
Ryan
Hischier
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
1
Ryan
Hischier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (387)
51.0% (1,011)
+9.2%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
58.2% (261)
-29.6%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (118)
47.7% (130)
-4.5%
On power play, Hischier has a +29.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Ryan shoots right. Hischier is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (544).
Home / Away
Ryan
Hischier
Home
56.7% (254)
52.8% (665)
Away
55.0% (258)
51.4% (737)
By Period
Ryan
Hischier
P1
56.9%
53.8%
P2
51.7%
53.8%
P3
59.2%
49.5%
OT
0.0%
35.0%
Final 5 min
53.6%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 06:11 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 04:41 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 15:07 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 06:52 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 2 | 12:11 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 1 | 11:43 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 1 | 04:11 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 1 | 01:27 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |