Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on defensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 12 meetings). Schmaltz wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 42.5% vs Hischier 52.6% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 20-8 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 89.9%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 92.6%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 91.6%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 91.5%
91.5%
8.5%
Schmaltz
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
20
(28 meetings)
8
20
Schmaltz
Hischier
Last 10: Schmaltz 4-6 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
5
3
Schmaltz
Hischier
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
11
Schmaltz
Hischier
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
2
6
Schmaltz
Hischier
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (3,399)
51.5% (8,379)
-10.3%
Power Play
47.1% (649)
59.7% (1,736)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (134)
49.4% (903)
-1.6%
On power play, Hischier has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,015).
Schmaltz shoots right. Hischier is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,970).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Hischier
Home
42.7% (2,089)
53.0% (5,449)
Away
41.9% (2,093)
52.2% (5,569)
By Period
Schmaltz
Hischier
P1
41.1%
52.9%
P2
42.9%
52.4%
P3
43.0%
52.6%
OT
42.4%
50.6%
Final 5 min
42.2%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.3%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 15:25 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 10:27 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 09:12 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 02:42 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 00:16 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 17:06 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 16:42 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 06:27 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 02:15 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 15:46 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 11:22 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 10:59 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 06:37 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 3 | 19:32 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 03:43 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 17:47 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 02:44 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 19, 2022 | 3 | 03:46 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 02:52 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 00:20 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |