Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Brown on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hischier wins 55.5% vs right-shot opponents — Brown shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 53.6% vs Brown 51.9% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 79.7%
Defensive zone
Brown 61.9%
Neutral zone
Hischier 51.2%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Hischier
Brown
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Hischier
Brown
Last 5: Hischier 3-2 Brown
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
2
0
Hischier
Brown
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brown
1
2
Hischier
Brown
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (1,185)
52.8% (284)
-0.4%
Power Play
57.8% (315)
75.0% (4)
-17.2%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (154)
49.0% (51)
+8.1%
On power play, Brown has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Hischier is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (640).
Hischier shoots left. Brown is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (237).
Home / Away
Hischier
Brown
Home
53.4% (844)
53.5% (144)
Away
54.3% (810)
51.8% (195)
By Period
Hischier
Brown
P1
49.7%
49.0%
P2
54.6%
48.7%
P3
56.1%
58.6%
Final 5 min
54.4%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
53.9%
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 04:50 | Neutral | Patrick Brown |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 16:00 | Neutral | Patrick Brown |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 15:00 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 02:11 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 06:01 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |