Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (56% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 52.6% vs Stastny 55.1% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 20-19 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 52.5%
Defensive zone
Hischier 52.6%
Neutral zone
Hischier 50.0%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Hischier
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
20
(39 meetings)
19
20
Hischier
Stastny
Last 10: Hischier 5-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
6
6
Hischier
Stastny
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
8
10
Hischier
Stastny
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
5
4
Hischier
Stastny
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (8,379)
54.6% (10,616)
-3.1%
Power Play
59.7% (1,736)
59.1% (1,994)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (903)
52.9% (1,119)
-3.5%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Hischier is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,048).
Hischier shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Hischier
Stastny
Home
53.0% (5,449)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
52.2% (5,569)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Hischier
Stastny
P1
52.9%
56.3%
P2
52.4%
55.4%
P3
52.6%
53.5%
OT
50.6%
62.9%
Final 5 min
51.2%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
52.6%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2023 | 1 | 16:58 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 12:33 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 12:26 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 3 | 12:05 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 3 | 06:31 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 3 | 03:43 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 2 | 13:36 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 2 | 09:38 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 1 | 12:09 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 1 | 00:37 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 3 | 13:34 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 3 | 10:52 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 1 | 08:21 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 15:29 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 2 | 18:17 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 2 | 08:02 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 2 | 07:56 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 1 | 09:25 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 3 | 12:24 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 2 | 16:37 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |