Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hischier wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 55.2% vs Zacha 52.8% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 68.8%
Defensive zone
Hischier 54.2%
Neutral zone
Zacha 64.2%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 61.3%
38.7%
61.3%
Hischier
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Hischier
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
2
1
Hischier
Zacha
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hischier
Zacha
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
3
Hischier
Zacha
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (1,228)
54.1% (534)
+1.7%
Power Play
62.1% (282)
56.0% (109)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (267)
44.8% (96)
+2.8%
On power play, Hischier has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Hischier is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,187).
Hischier shoots left. Zacha is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Hischier
Zacha
Home
56.5% (867)
53.4% (406)
Away
54.6% (910)
52.9% (333)
By Period
Hischier
Zacha
P1
57.9%
56.8%
P2
55.9%
53.6%
P3
52.7%
49.2%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.5%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2025 | 3 | 09:55 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |