Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.6% vs 53.4%). Look for Johansen on neutral-zone draws (69% H2H, 26 meetings). Hischier wins 55.0% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 52.6% vs Johansen 53.3% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 34-27 in 61 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 50.6%
Defensive zone
Hischier 53.1%
Neutral zone
Hischier 50.8%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Hischier
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
34
(61 meetings)
27
34
Hischier
Johansen
Last 10: Hischier 4-6 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
8
8
Hischier
Johansen
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
11
8
Hischier
Johansen
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
8
18
Hischier
Johansen
26 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (8,379)
53.1% (11,017)
-1.6%
Power Play
59.7% (1,736)
56.2% (2,163)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (903)
50.5% (978)
-1.1%
On power play, Hischier has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Hischier is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,970).
Hischier shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Home / Away
Hischier
Johansen
Home
53.0% (5,449)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
52.2% (5,569)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Hischier
Johansen
P1
52.9%
53.2%
P2
52.4%
53.9%
P3
52.6%
52.8%
OT
50.6%
58.2%
Final 5 min
51.2%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
52.6%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 17:35 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 17:27 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 16:36 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 14:58 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 07:36 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 00:20 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 17:26 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 11:21 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 02:45 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 16:20 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 10:37 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 07:39 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 05:17 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 1, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 18:39 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |