Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on defensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Hischier wins 55.5% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 53.6% vs Johansen 58.2% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 61.5%
Defensive zone
Hischier 55.2%
Neutral zone
Johansen 55.7%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Hischier
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
9
(20 meetings)
11
9
Hischier
Johansen
Last 10: Hischier 4-6 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Hischier
Johansen
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
4
3
Hischier
Johansen
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
4
3
Hischier
Johansen
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (1,185)
59.8% (625)
-7.4%
Power Play
57.8% (315)
58.2% (196)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (154)
51.9% (27)
+5.2%
On even strength, Johansen has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Hischier is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (640).
Hischier shoots left. Johansen is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Hischier
Johansen
Home
53.4% (844)
60.3% (436)
Away
54.3% (810)
58.0% (412)
By Period
Hischier
Johansen
P1
49.7%
61.3%
P2
54.6%
60.4%
P3
56.1%
56.0%
OT
65.5%
56.3%
Final 5 min
54.4%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
56.0%▲
54.5%
53.9%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 17:35 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 17:27 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 16:36 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 14:58 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 07:36 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 00:20 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 17:26 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 11:21 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 02:45 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 16:20 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 10:37 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 07:39 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 05:17 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 1, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 18:39 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |