Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Hischier wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 45.7% vs Johansen 53.3% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 67.2%
Defensive zone
Hischier 73.1%
Neutral zone
Hischier 68.3%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 68.1%
68.1%
31.9%
Hischier
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Hischier
Johansen
Last 8: Hischier 2-6 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Hischier
Johansen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
5
Hischier
Johansen
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (879)
54.7% (1,149)
-9.6%
Power Play
50.0% (68)
49.7% (191)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
47.9% (121)
-11.1%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Hischier is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (279).
Hischier shoots left. Johansen is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Home / Away
Hischier
Johansen
Home
42.7% (499)
52.5% (739)
Away
48.0% (467)
54.6% (722)
By Period
Hischier
Johansen
P1
48.2%
53.8%
P2
40.7%
55.8%
P3
46.4%
51.2%
OT
52.0%
52.4%
Final 5 min
40.9%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
45.2%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2018 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 25, 2018 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 3 | 05:51 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 2 | 03:32 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 1 | 10:57 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |