Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Hischier wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 54.9% vs Kuraly 50.1% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 74.0%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 79.0%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 54.6%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 61.3%
38.7%
61.3%
Hischier
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Hischier
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
0
Hischier
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Hischier
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (1,107)
51.8% (444)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (149)
45.3% (150)
-1.7%
On even strength, Hischier has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Hischier is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (977).
Hischier shoots left. Kuraly is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (368).
Home / Away
Hischier
Kuraly
Home
56.5% (763)
54.6% (304)
Away
54.0% (745)
45.5% (290)
By Period
Hischier
Kuraly
P1
56.0%
55.2%
P2
57.6%
45.7%
P3
53.0%
49.5%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.2%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2026 | 2 | 15:45 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 1 | 11:30 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 02:56 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |