Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 53.6% vs Kuraly 49.7% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 79.5%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 81.3%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 55.3%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Hischier
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Hischier
Kuraly
Last 10: Hischier 4-6 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
4
0
Hischier
Kuraly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
6
Hischier
Kuraly
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
2
Hischier
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (1,185)
49.2% (901)
+3.2%
Power Play
57.8% (315)
68.2% (22)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (154)
49.8% (219)
+7.3%
On power play, Kuraly has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Hischier is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Hischier shoots left. Kuraly is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Hischier
Kuraly
Home
53.4% (844)
51.7% (603)
Away
54.3% (810)
47.3% (539)
By Period
Hischier
Kuraly
P1
49.7%
50.9%
P2
54.6%
49.5%
P3
56.1%
49.1%
OT
65.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
54.4%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
53.9%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 14:51 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 02:07 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 16:37 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 07:05 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 08:39 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 19:58 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 06:23 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 06:17 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 3 | 02:09 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 3 | 02:02 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 1 | 18:40 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 1 | 12:07 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 1 | 06:26 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |