Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Hischier wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 54.9% vs Kuraly 55.9% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 73.0%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 73.5%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 51.7%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 62.6%
37.4%
62.6%
Hischier
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Hischier
Kuraly
Last 8: Hischier 4-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
3
1
Hischier
Kuraly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
3
Hischier
Kuraly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (250)
58.4% (310)
-5.2%
Power Play
66.7% (75)
66.7% (6)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (36)
53.0% (83)
+2.6%
On even strength, Kuraly has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Hischier is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (166).
Hischier shoots left. Kuraly is 62.2% vs left-shot opponents (209).
Home / Away
Hischier
Kuraly
Home
56.9% (153)
57.1% (184)
Away
55.8% (208)
57.7% (215)
By Period
Hischier
Kuraly
P1
50.0%
56.0%
P2
48.6%
56.6%
P3
68.0%
58.0%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.6%
62.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
56.2%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2021 | 3 | 06:55 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| May 4, 2021 | 3 | 01:22 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| May 4, 2021 | 2 | 13:15 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| May 4, 2021 | 2 | 01:32 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| May 4, 2021 | 1 | 04:24 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 01:26 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 19:14 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 15:07 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |