Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.2% vs 55.7%). Look for Hischier on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings). Hischier wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 54.9% vs Crosby 55.3% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 20-9 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 76.7%
Defensive zone
Hischier 53.0%
Neutral zone
Crosby 65.2%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 60.5%
39.5%
60.5%
Hischier
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
9
(29 meetings)
20
9
Hischier
Crosby
Last 10: Hischier 8-2 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
4
3
Hischier
Crosby
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
9
3
Hischier
Crosby
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
7
3
Hischier
Crosby
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (1,107)
53.5% (961)
+1.5%
Power Play
63.1% (252)
64.1% (237)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (149)
64.3% (14)
-20.7%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Hischier is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (977).
Hischier shoots left. Crosby is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (856).
Home / Away
Hischier
Crosby
Home
56.5% (763)
56.4% (622)
Away
54.0% (745)
54.9% (590)
By Period
Hischier
Crosby
P1
56.0%
56.0%
P2
57.6%
52.6%
P3
53.0%
58.3%
OT
33.3%
54.2%
Final 5 min
54.0%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.2%
Crosby
64.0%▲
53.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 17:47 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 09:17 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 18:28 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 17:38 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 14:53 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 11:09 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 08:05 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 07:55 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 19:49 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 10:29 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 10:13 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 06:22 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 02:58 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 8, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 02:10 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 01:45 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 00:19 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |