Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 15 meetings). Hischier wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 55.2% vs Crosby 56.6% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 17-15 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 61.4%
Defensive zone
Hischier 74.3%
Neutral zone
Hischier 51.7%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Hischier
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
17
(32 meetings)
15
17
Hischier
Crosby
Last 10: Hischier 5-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
3
4
Hischier
Crosby
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
6
4
Hischier
Crosby
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
6
9
Hischier
Crosby
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (1,228)
56.2% (1,451)
-0.4%
Power Play
62.1% (282)
61.4% (293)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (267)
55.3% (38)
-7.7%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Hischier is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,187).
Hischier shoots left. Crosby is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Home / Away
Hischier
Crosby
Home
56.5% (867)
59.1% (939)
Away
54.6% (910)
54.7% (843)
By Period
Hischier
Crosby
P1
57.9%
54.9%
P2
55.9%
60.8%
P3
52.7%
55.4%
OT
66.7%
53.6%
Final 5 min
55.7%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.5%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 12:41 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 10:37 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 09:06 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 01:09 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 15:23 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 06:41 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 16:06 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 10:17 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 10:08 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 15:04 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 11:34 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 11:28 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 11:24 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 00:05 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 18:05 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 08:23 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 06:57 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 17:20 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |