Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Hischier wins 55.0% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 52.6% vs Johnson 49.7% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 60.4%
Defensive zone
Hischier 60.4%
Neutral zone
Hischier 57.1%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 59.7%
59.7%
40.3%
Hischier
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Hischier
Johnson
Last 10: Hischier 6-4 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
3
4
Hischier
Johnson
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
4
1
Hischier
Johnson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
2
Hischier
Johnson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (8,379)
49.8% (5,396)
+1.7%
Power Play
59.7% (1,736)
54.6% (885)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (903)
42.3% (707)
+7.1%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Hischier is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,970).
Hischier shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Home / Away
Hischier
Johnson
Home
53.0% (5,449)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
52.2% (5,569)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Hischier
Johnson
P1
52.9%
50.1%
P2
52.4%
50.6%
P3
52.6%
48.4%
OT
50.6%
42.5%
Final 5 min
51.2%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
52.6%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2021 | 3 | 08:31 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 15, 2021 | 2 | 10:37 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 3 | 06:48 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 3 | 15:21 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 1 | 04:35 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 3 | 16:05 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 2 | 18:26 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 1 | 14:59 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 1 | 10:34 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 2 | 12:40 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 2 | 12:11 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 1 | 08:54 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 2 | 09:01 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 2 | 04:34 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |