Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kozak on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hischier wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kozak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 54.9% vs Kozak 49.7% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 73.0%
Defensive zone
Kozak 80.3%
Neutral zone
Kozak 58.2%
Result
Tyson Kozak favored at 67.7%
32.3%
67.7%
Hischier
Kozak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Hischier
Kozak
Last 7: Hischier 3-4 Kozak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kozak
1
2
Hischier
Kozak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Hischier
Kozak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (1,107)
49.3% (294)
+5.7%
Power Play
63.1% (252)
60.0% (5)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (149)
50.0% (40)
-6.4%
On penalty kill, Kozak has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Hischier is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (977).
Hischier shoots left. Kozak is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (239).
Home / Away
Hischier
Kozak
Home
56.5% (763)
45.5% (145)
Away
54.0% (745)
52.6% (194)
By Period
Hischier
Kozak
P1
56.0%
53.4%
P2
57.6%
50.0%
P3
53.0%
44.3%
Final 5 min
54.0%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.2%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 03:43 | Defensive | Tyson Kozak |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 03:48 | Defensive | Tyson Kozak |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyson Kozak |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyson Kozak |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 05:22 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 11:36 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |