Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Athanasiou on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Athanasiou 47.7% vs Sturm 59.0% (-13.8%)
H2H factor
Sturm leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Athanasiou 57.8%
Defensive zone
Sturm 76.8%
Neutral zone
Sturm 54.1%
Result
Andreas Athanasiou favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Athanasiou
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Athanasiou
Sturm
Last 10: Athanasiou 5-5 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Athanasiou
Sturm
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Athanasiou
Sturm
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Athanasiou
2
1
Athanasiou
Sturm
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Athanasiou
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (158)
60.6% (708)
-14.4%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
61.1% (18)
-11.1%
On even strength, Sturm has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Athanasiou is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (118).
Athanasiou shoots left. Sturm is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Home / Away
Athanasiou
Sturm
Home
53.0% (83)
61.6% (451)
Away
39.5% (81)
58.2% (376)
By Period
Athanasiou
Sturm
P1
46.4%
55.9%
P2
51.7%
58.9%
P3
40.0%
64.6%
Final 5 min
53.3%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Athanasiou
48.0%▬
47.5%
46.3%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 18:14 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 17:46 | Offensive | Andreas Athanasiou |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 11:05 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 10:39 | Neutral | Andreas Athanasiou |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 08:37 | Neutral | Andreas Athanasiou |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 04:15 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 04:11 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 12:40 | Offensive | Andreas Athanasiou |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 12:28 | Offensive | Andreas Athanasiou |